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If the intercept value of a linear regression model is 40,the slope value is 40,and the value of X is 40,which of the following is the resulting forecast value using this model?


A) 120
B) 1,600
C) 1,640
D) 2,200
E) 64,000

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Which of the following forecasting methods is very dependent on selection of the right individuals who will judgmentally be used to actually generate the forecast?


A) Time series analysis
B) Simple moving average
C) Weighted moving average
D) Delphi method
E) Panel consensus

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Which of the following forecasting methods can be used for short-term forecasting?


A) Simple exponential smoothing
B) Delphi technique
C) Market research
D) Hoskins-Hamilton smoothing
E) Serial regression

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In business forecasting,what is usually considered a medium-term time period?


A) Six weeks to one year
B) Three months to two years
C) One to five years
D) One to six months
E) Six months to six years

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restriction in using linear regression is that it assumes that past data and future projections fall on or near a straight line.

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company has actual unit demand for four consecutive years of 100,105,135,and 150.The respective forecasts were 120 for all four years.Which of the following is the resulting MAD value that can be computed from this data?


A) 2.5
B) 10
C) 20
D) 22.5
E) 30

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Which of the following forecasting methodologies is considered a causal forecasting technique?


A) Exponential smoothing
B) Weighted moving average
C) Linear regression
D) Historical analogy
E) Market research

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The value of the smoothing constant alpha in an exponential smoothing model is between 0 and 1.

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In most cases,demand for products or services can be broken down into several components.Which of the following is not considered a component of demand?


A) Average demand for a period
B) A trend
C) Seasonal elements
D) Past data
E) Autocorrelation

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Which of the following forecasting methodologies is considered a time series forecasting technique?


A) Simple moving average
B) Market research
C) Leading indicators
D) Historical analogy
E) Simulation

Correct Answer

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